A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (27 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 29
Defender wins (Gurkha): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1050 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1135 | 66% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1251 | 1135 | 66% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1023 | 953 | 60% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 780 | 998 | 22% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 879 | 1001 | 33% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1131 | 32% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 944 | 70% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1131 | 32% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1138 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1327 | 52% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1342 | 19% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 1001 | 879 | 67% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 853 | 885 | 45% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1238 | 983 | 81% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1077 | 1251 | 27% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1210 | 32% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1119 | 37% | 2014-02-08 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1092 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1119 | 1039 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1075.7 has a 46.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).