The Dornot Watermark
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (4 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2026-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2026-02-26 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1108 | 40% | 2018-02-02 | | Tied |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1023.8 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).