Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (30 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1151 | 27% | 2026-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1289 | 18% | 2025-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 869 | 78% | 2025-04-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2024-04-09 | | Won |
| 984 | 1136 | 29% | 2024-04-07 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2024-02-06 | | Lost |
| 957 | 974 | 48% | 2023-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2023-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1058 | 58% | 2022-09-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1154 | 29% | 2022-09-04 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1013 | 41% | 2022-01-19 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-08-31 | | Won |
| 1315 | 1057 | 82% | 2020-04-15 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-09-15 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1154 | 20% | 2017-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2017-06-02 | | Lost |
| 920 | 841 | 61% | 2017-04-20 | | Won |
| 1061 | 846 | 78% | 2016-11-04 | | Won |
| 1091 | 692 | 91% | 2016-05-09 | | Won |
| 891 | 963 | 40% | 2016-01-29 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-11-22 | | Won |
| 988 | 1242 | 19% | 2015-04-10 | | Lost |
| 974 | 983 | 49% | 2014-06-20 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1073 | 10% | 2014-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1048 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1185 | 38% | 2013-10-10 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2013-08-04 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1133 | 38% | 2013-05-13 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1033.8 has a 47.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).