A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Polish): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 1087 | 22% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1178 | 23% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 903 | 948 | 44% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1089 | 980 | 65% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
| 1149 | 1138 | 52% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 881 | 1109 | 21% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1156 | 66% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 1216 | 26% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1058 | 46% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
| 1042 | 890 | 71% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 940 | 1099 | 29% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 977 | 1099 | 33% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1061.1 has a 43.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).