It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (23 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1129 | 1148 | 47% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1129 | 37% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 1102 | 56% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1065 | 45% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 1100 | 35% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 1020 | 1069 | 43% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1255 | 21% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1116 | 36% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 924 | 59% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 929 | 981 | 43% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 1008 | 37% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 933 | 57% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 978 | 55% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
| 945 | 1008 | 41% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1163 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 1041.9 has a 46.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).