It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (American): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2023-06-10 | A | Lost |
| 1057 | 991 | 59% | 2023-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-01-16 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-03-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2020-03-14 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2018-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2017-08-19 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1059 | 50% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1059 | 50% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1289 | 17% | 2015-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1134 | 36% | 2014-09-25 | A | Lost |
| 1343 | 951 | 91% | 2014-06-20 | | Won |
| 985 | 920 | 59% | 2014-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2013-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2013-02-10 | | Won |
| 940 | 1062 | 33% | 2013-01-13 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045.4 vs 1027.3 has a 52.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).