It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (23 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1064 | 49% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1200 | 1174 | 54% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 1200 | 34% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1154 | 1109 | 56% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1082 | 42% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1107 | 42% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 1021 | 1028 | 49% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1275 | 18% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1191 | 29% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 930 | 58% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 928 | 982 | 42% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 912 | 1118 | 23% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 972 | 73% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
| 972 | 977 | 49% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1118 | 26% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
| 1177 | 972 | 76% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 871 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1052 has a 47.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).