Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (16 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 49
Defender wins (German (SS)): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1400 | 1129 | 83% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1120 | 952 | 72% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1024 | 48% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 919 | 908 | 52% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1067 | 55% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 987 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1310 | 37% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 963 | 1099 | 31% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1001 | 48% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 927 | 1097 | 27% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1050.1 has a 47.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).