Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (19 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2025-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1171 | 82% | 2023-06-09 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2023-01-29 | | Won |
| 1136 | 947 | 75% | 2021-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1012 | 57% | 2020-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2020-02-14 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1147 | 15% | 2017-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1071 | 54% | 2014-04-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2014-01-13 | | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2013-08-14 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2013-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1008 | 54% | 2013-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2013-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2013-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2012-12-28 | | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1163 | 18% | 2012-11-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1066.1 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).