Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (19 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1211 | 50% | 2025-06-17 | Lost |
| 1434 | 1159 | 83% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1108 | 947 | 72% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1052 | 993 | 58% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 882 | 1135 | 19% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 940 | 903 | 55% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1071 | 54% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1024 | 44% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1231 | 49% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 1117 | 30% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 885 | 1128 | 20% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1066 has a 47.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).