Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (19 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1196 | 52% | 2025-06-17 | Lost |
| 1435 | 1136 | 85% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1126 | 947 | 74% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1013 | 61% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 882 | 1132 | 19% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 940 | 902 | 55% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1070 | 54% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1024 | 44% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1219 | 51% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 965 | 1129 | 28% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1061.6 has a 49.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).