The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1129 | 42% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 1003 | 812 | 75% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 938 | 1107 | 27% | 2023-05-30 | Lost |
| 1310 | 996 | 86% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 917 | 76% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 982 | 967 | 52% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 888 | 933 | 44% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1100 | 37% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 957 | 1056 | 36% | 2013-01-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-11-09 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1085 | 39% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1007.3 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).