Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 915 | 838 | 61% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1000 | 60% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1072 | 1000 | 60% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 1053 | 52% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 949 | 1025 | 39% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 949 | 1163 | 23% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 934 | 72% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 957 | 56% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 875 | 875 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 975 | 61% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 990 | 941 | 57% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1034 | 1140 | 35% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 937 | 50% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1078 | 939 | 69% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 1018 | 53% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1019 | 51% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 973 | 61% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 953 | 62% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 911 | 766 | 70% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1164 | 41% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1014 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1014.6 vs 988.3 has a 53.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).