Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 933 | 70% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1001 | 55% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 913 | 904 | 51% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1012 | 1001 | 52% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 1198 | 53% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1091 | 1058 | 55% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1046 | 55% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 993 | 61% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1024 | 54% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 1041 | 65% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1125 | 1117 | 51% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1058 | 51% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 878 | 767 | 65% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1022.9 has a 56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).