Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2025-10-24 | Lost |
| 1225 | 987 | 80% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 1225 | 987 | 80% | 2025-05-13 | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2024-12-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1001 | 55% | 2024-12-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 913 | 926 | 48% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1065 | 1001 | 59% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1172 | 56% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 1113 | 65% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1083 | 53% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 879 | 945 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1046 | 46% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 993 | 61% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 968 | 61% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 989 | 72% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1052 | 55% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 885 | 766 | 66% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1342 | 20% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1017 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1030.3 has a 54.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).