The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (16 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 24
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2025-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2025-01-11 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1037 | 57% | 2024-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1046 | 62% | 2023-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1218 | 32% | 2020-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1218 | 40% | 2020-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2014-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2013-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-09-01 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2012-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1031 | 56% | 2012-03-02 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1140 | 36% | 2012-02-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1090.7 vs 1062.4 has a 54.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).