Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (12 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 32
Defender wins (American): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 981 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1053 | 927 | 67% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2017-02-04 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1067 | 44% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1275 | 29% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2012-02-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1042.5 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).