Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
1128 | 1086 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
1059 | 1086 | 46% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
1125 | 993 | 68% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
1162 | 1219 | 42% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
1241 | 1219 | 53% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
1141 | 994 | 70% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
1189 | 748 | 93% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1146 vs 1075.9 has a 59.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).