Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1097 | 53% | 2026-07-11 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-02-07 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2023-03-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2023-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 945 | 66% | 2022-12-07 | | Won |
| 1110 | 1218 | 35% | 2019-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1218 | 40% | 2019-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2017-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 957 | 74% | 2014-03-10 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1104.3 vs 1079.2 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).