Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (15 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (French / British): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 1003 | 49% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 998 | 79% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1172 | 56% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 1113 | 65% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 1015 | 32% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1313 | 21% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1068.1 vs 1072.3 has a 49.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).