An Unfriendly Welcome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (11 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2023-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-04-14 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2017-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1013 | 56% | 2013-12-14 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1013 | 56% | 2013-12-09 | | Won |
| 974 | 962 | 52% | 2013-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2011-12-01 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 2011-09-06 | | Won |
| 695 | 1090 | 9% | 2010-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1099 | 80% | 2010-10-09 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1022.3 has a 56.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).