An Unfriendly Welcome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (11 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1087 | 998 | 63% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2017-01-17 | Lost |
| 1003 | 993 | 51% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
| 1003 | 993 | 51% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 938 | 998 | 41% | 2013-01-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 884 | 66% | 2011-12-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2011-09-06 | Won |
| 694 | 1022 | 13% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1099 | 80% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1012.5 has a 55.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).