Satisfaction and Confidence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1289 | 25% | 2025-11-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1098 | 32% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1127 | 49% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 937 | 1028 | 37% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 942 | 1102 | 28% | 2020-11-09 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1021 | 61% | 2019-07-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 989 | 62% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 989 | 62% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1098 | 30% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 1098 | 30% | 2018-02-27 | Won |
| 1107 | 1066 | 56% | 2013-07-14 | Tied |
| 885 | 1215 | 13% | 2011-11-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1197 | 42% | 2010-08-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1102.3 has a 39.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).