After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (17 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1027 | 53% | 2026-02-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1204 | 60% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 952 | 1096 | 30% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1058 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1204 | 52% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1253 | 72% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1054 | 53% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1161 | 1071 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1027 | 67% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.3 vs 1064.5 has a 55.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).