After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1194 | 59% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 930 | 1138 | 23% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1058 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1194 | 53% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1274 | 70% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1053 | 48% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1160 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1037 | 65% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1095.8 vs 1074.4 has a 53.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).