Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 970 | 974 | 49% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1220 | 1153 | 60% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1170 | 36% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1022 | 1131 | 35% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1234 | 27% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1161 | 1118 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 876 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1121 | 1185 | 41% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 694 | 1233 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1094.7 has a 47.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).