Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 970 | 1024 | 42% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1180 | 1076 | 65% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1224 | 30% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1130 | 42% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1072 | 58% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1253 | 25% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1163 | 1117 | 57% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 875 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1184 | 38% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 1130 | 51% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1008 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 694 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1173 | 39% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1101.7 has a 45.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).