Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 967 | 1080 | 34% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1264 | 1089 | 73% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1218 | 32% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1132 | 34% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1132 | 1014 | 66% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 890 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1148 | 1111 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 913 | 74% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1157 | 1049 | 65% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1228 | 1008 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 697 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1122 | 44% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1081.3 vs 1096.2 has a 47.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).