Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 970 | 1052 | 38% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1216 | 1089 | 68% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1094 | 1204 | 35% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1117 | 44% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1117 | 945 | 73% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1072 | 56% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1340 | 17% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1164 | 1117 | 57% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 882 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1110 | 1172 | 41% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1131 | 53% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1008 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 693 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1100.9 has a 45.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).