Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 939 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
967 | 1084 | 34% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
1276 | 1084 | 75% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
1100 | 1129 | 46% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
1098 | 1182 | 38% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
1182 | 1098 | 62% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
1073 | 1310 | 20% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
1214 | 890 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
1145 | 1099 | 57% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
1100 | 933 | 72% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
1120 | 1049 | 60% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
1228 | 1007 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
697 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
1094 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
1038 | 1119 | 39% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
978 | 1141 | 28% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1094.2 has a 47.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).