Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2024-02-04 | | Won |
| 970 | 1055 | 38% | 2022-10-06 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-11-21 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1159 | 38% | 2020-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1098 | 42% | 2018-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-10-04 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2018-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2017-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | | Won |
| 1160 | 1127 | 55% | 2013-12-28 | | Won |
| 1099 | 876 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-11-12 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2011-06-25 | | Won |
| 695 | 1233 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1156 | 36% | 2010-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1214 | 26% | 2010-06-15 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1079 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).