Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (45 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 84
Defender wins (American): 78
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1001 | 72% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 941 | 1011 | 40% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 996 | 1024 | 46% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 931 | 997 | 41% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 983 | 56% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1084 | 51% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 908 | 936 | 46% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 927 | 971 | 44% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1119 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
| 875 | 1151 | 17% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 996 | 1031 | 45% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1255 | 25% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1115 | 1120 | 49% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 870 | 80% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
| 996 | 982 | 52% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
| 888 | 1011 | 33% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1242 | 1140 | 64% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 1133 | 43% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 963 | 1116 | 29% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 1073 | 80% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1073 | 80% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 765 | 72% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1040 | 64% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1276 | 1069 | 77% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 1125 | 34% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 888 | 68% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1074 | 1066 | 51% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 1018 | 65% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 1086 | 1100 | 48% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 920 | 1008 | 38% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1036.5 has a 51.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).