The Generalissimo's Own
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (37 on the archive and 128 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 78
Defender wins (Japanese): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2026-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 959 | 61% | 2024-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2024-05-05 | | Lost |
| 903 | 985 | 38% | 2023-10-28 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-10-17 | | Won |
| 1212 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-03-19 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1000 | 37% | 2022-08-26 | | Tied |
| 1140 | 1084 | 58% | 2021-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1074 | 53% | 2021-05-11 | | Won |
| 821 | 1074 | 19% | 2020-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2020-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2020-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2019-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1084 | 59% | 2018-08-30 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2017-09-27 | | Tied |
| 1049 | 1084 | 45% | 2017-09-10 | | Tied |
| 986 | 1166 | 26% | 2017-05-16 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2017-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2016-07-31 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1003 | 37% | 2015-12-14 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-08-25 | | Won |
| 1271 | 1150 | 67% | 2015-01-10 | | Won |
| 1233 | 989 | 80% | 2014-12-14 | | Won |
| 754 | 1158 | 9% | 2014-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2013-12-09 | | Won |
| 1017 | 876 | 69% | 2013-10-31 | | Won |
| 876 | 1017 | 31% | 2013-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-04-11 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2012-06-03 | | Lost |
| 968 | 971 | 50% | 2011-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 942 | 67% | 2011-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 918 | 64% | 2010-10-05 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1147 | 40% | 2010-09-10 | | Won |
| 1041 | 986 | 58% | 2010-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1028.9 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).