The Generalissimo's Own
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 163 (36 on the archive and 127 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 77
Defender wins (Japanese): 82
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1147 | 37% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1021 | 63% | 2024-05-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 973 | 59% | 2023-10-28 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1113 | 38% | 2023-10-17 | Won |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 948 | 1160 | 23% | 2022-08-26 | Tied |
| 1101 | 1030 | 60% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1046 | 65% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 743 | 1046 | 15% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1097 | 49% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-09-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1147 | 28% | 2019-11-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2018-08-30 | Won |
| 1143 | 1160 | 48% | 2017-09-27 | Tied |
| 1143 | 1030 | 66% | 2017-09-10 | Tied |
| 970 | 1083 | 34% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 1160 | 17% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 981 | 1002 | 47% | 2015-12-14 | Tied |
| 980 | 1038 | 42% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 1211 | 1150 | 59% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 1233 | 984 | 81% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1147 | 49% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 875 | 74% | 2013-10-31 | Won |
| 875 | 1060 | 26% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1160 | 32% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 942 | 40% | 2012-06-03 | Lost |
| 967 | 907 | 59% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 918 | 69% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2010-09-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 970 | 62% | 2010-07-17 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1097 | 53% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1091 | 54% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1059.8 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).