ASL Scenario Archive

Far From Home

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (Nationalist): 25

Defender wins (Republican): 14

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1131	1131	50%	2022-11-02	Won
956	1014	42%	2022-07-27	Won
1152	994	71%	2022-05-12	Won
1141	1014	68%	2022-03-15	Lost
1214	931	84%	2021-05-15	Won
1012	1012	50%	2020-12-28	Won
1046	1044	50%	2020-11-17	Won
917	1116	24%	2020-07-12	Lost
1056	1005	57%	2020-01-21	Won
874	961	38%	2020-01-18	Lost
981	1056	39%	2019-07-16	Lost
969	969	50%	2019-04-03	Lost
1124	1223	36%	2019-01-19	Won
1223	1124	64%	2019-01-11	Won
1223	1184	56%	2018-08-24	Won
1055	945	65%	2018-08-05	Won
1116	963	71%	2017-04-08	Won
1133	1098	55%	2015-09-25	Won
1143	1067	61%	2015-07-12	Won
1010	1228	22%	2014-09-03	Lost
1255	938	86%	2013-09-16	Won
1094	975	66%	2013-06-23	Won
1133	1099	55%	2013-05-12	Won
1069	1009	59%	2013-04-06	Won
911	924	48%	2012-08-05	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2012-07-23	Won
1022	1004	53%	2012-07-21	Won
982	1037	42%	2011-07-11	Won
1110	984	67%	2011-07-01	Lost
1110	955	71%	2010-12-01	Lost
978	1141	28%	2010-10-15	Won
1084	1019	59%	2010-09-19	Lost
1021	1084	41%	2010-07-30	Lost
1096	1050	57%	2010-07-04	Won
1051	1040	52%	2010-07-03	Won
1031	1218	25%	2010-06-19	Lost
1074	1074	50%	2010-06-16	Lost
1149	1069	61%	2010-04-23	Won
984	1017	45%	2010-02-01	Lost

Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1046.3 has a 53.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).