ASL Scenario Archive

Far From Home

Games with no balance used/recorded: 40

Attacker wins (Nationalist): 26

Defender wins (Republican): 14

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1121	1121	50%	2022-11-02	Won
943	977	45%	2022-07-27	Won
1170	1019	70%	2022-05-12	Won
1170	977	75%	2022-03-15	Lost
1219	938	83%	2021-05-15	Won
1074	1088	48%	2020-12-28	Won
1055	1059	49%	2020-11-17	Won
885	1199	14%	2020-07-12	Lost
1049	1005	56%	2020-01-21	Won
869	959	37%	2020-01-18	Lost
982	1058	39%	2019-07-16	Lost
976	976	50%	2019-04-03	Lost
927	1223	15%	2019-01-19	Won
1223	927	85%	2019-01-11	Won
1223	1136	62%	2018-08-24	Won
1055	1165	35%	2018-08-05	Won
1199	960	80%	2017-04-08	Won
1132	1086	57%	2015-09-25	Won
1154	1066	62%	2015-07-12	Won
1010	1228	22%	2014-09-03	Lost
1266	938	87%	2013-09-16	Won
1094	975	66%	2013-06-23	Won
1133	1111	53%	2013-05-12	Won
1041	1011	54%	2013-04-06	Won
881	962	39%	2012-08-05	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2012-07-23	Won
1022	1004	53%	2012-07-21	Won
1058	1037	53%	2011-07-11	Won
1100	984	66%	2011-07-01	Lost
1110	961	70%	2010-12-01	Lost
1003	1170	28%	2010-10-15	Won
1014	990	53%	2010-10-10	Won
1080	930	70%	2010-09-19	Lost
1020	1080	41%	2010-07-30	Lost
1096	1051	56%	2010-07-04	Won
1052	1040	52%	2010-07-03	Won
1128	1196	40%	2010-06-19	Lost
1076	1073	50%	2010-06-16	Lost
1149	1041	65%	2010-04-23	Won
984	1017	45%	2010-02-01	Lost

Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1045.7 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).