ASL Scenario Archive

Far From Home

Games with no balance used/recorded: 169 (44 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (Nationalist): 82

Defender wins (Republican): 87

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1039	1039	50%	2025-09-05	Won
780	1198	8%	2023-03-05	Won
1085	1085	50%	2022-11-02	Won
948	980	45%	2022-07-27	Won
1073	1198	33%	2022-07-11	Won
1199	1065	68%	2022-05-12	Won
1243	980	82%	2022-03-15	Lost
1217	929	84%	2021-05-15	Won
1066	1066	50%	2020-12-28	Won
1049	1049	50%	2020-11-17	Won
930	1058	32%	2020-07-12	Lost
1338	1263	61%	2020-02-06	Won
1049	1005	56%	2020-01-21	Won
996	961	55%	2020-01-18	Lost
981	1058	39%	2019-07-16	Lost
976	976	50%	2019-04-03	Lost
982	1226	20%	2019-01-19	Won
1226	982	80%	2019-01-11	Won
1226	1136	63%	2018-08-24	Won
1058	1039	53%	2018-08-05	Won
1058	969	63%	2017-04-08	Won
1132	1072	59%	2015-09-25	Won
1154	1071	62%	2015-07-12	Won
1009	1228	22%	2014-09-03	Lost
1256	938	86%	2013-09-16	Won
1107	975	68%	2013-06-23	Won
1132	1117	52%	2013-05-12	Won
1012	980	55%	2013-04-06	Won
881	962	39%	2012-08-05	Lost
1088	1088	50%	2012-07-23	Won
1022	1004	53%	2012-07-21	Won
1117	1036	61%	2011-07-11	Won
1095	984	65%	2011-07-01	Lost
1058	1075	48%	2010-12-01	Lost
1068	1243	27%	2010-10-15	Won
1081	1046	55%	2010-10-10	Won
1024	930	63%	2010-09-19	Lost
1017	1024	49%	2010-07-30	Lost
1098	1037	59%	2010-07-04	Won
969	1027	42%	2010-07-03	Won
1041	1209	28%	2010-06-19	Lost
980	1105	33%	2010-06-16	Lost
1144	1012	68%	2010-04-23	Won
985	1018	45%	2010-02-01	Lost

Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1055.5 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).