Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (28 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 1035 | 938 | 64% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1156 | 1028 | 68% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 864 | 942 | 39% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 933 | 942 | 49% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 989 | 914 | 61% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1109 | 49% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1039 | 54% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1100 | 21% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 938 | 72% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 990 | 1050 | 41% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1139 | 39% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1021.9 vs 1039.6 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).