Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (30 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 67
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 1208 | 51% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 1228 | 1215 | 52% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 998 | 937 | 59% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1113 | 1089 | 53% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 944 | 48% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 989 | 915 | 60% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 983 | 996 | 48% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 869 | 1217 | 12% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 1001 | 1131 | 32% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1001 | 68% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 902 | 1101 | 24% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 988 | 1040 | 43% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1003 | 59% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1038 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 1047.7 has a 48.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).