Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (28 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 970 | 938 | 55% | 2025-01-31 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 1241 | 1009 | 79% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 864 | 934 | 40% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 931 | 934 | 50% | 2021-04-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 989 | 53% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 991 | 915 | 61% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 907 | 1219 | 14% | 2016-09-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 894 | 870 | 53% | 2014-02-04 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-08-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2012-12-02 | Won |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 748 | 86% | 2010-10-15 | Lost |
| 885 | 1098 | 23% | 2010-09-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 938 | 72% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
| 1111 | 1035 | 61% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1125 | 56% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-07-07 | Lost |
| 852 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-04-06 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1128 | 49% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1035 | 51% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1026.5 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).