Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (30 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 67
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 1230 | 39% | 2026-03-08 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1153 | 57% | 2025-12-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2025-05-29 | | Won |
| 949 | 938 | 52% | 2025-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2024-07-21 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1040 | 65% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 843 | 932 | 37% | 2021-11-22 | | Lost |
| 932 | 932 | 50% | 2021-04-10 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1077 | 38% | 2020-12-23 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-02-26 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-07-14 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2018-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1145 | 48% | 2016-09-27 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2016-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 870 | 68% | 2014-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2013-08-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2012-12-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2012-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2012-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-10-15 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1101 | 25% | 2010-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2010-09-25 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-07-07 | | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2010-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2010-01-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1039.5 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).