Alligator Tanks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 966 | 950 | 52% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 904 | 1016 | 34% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-02 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1019 | 61% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1138 | 918 | 78% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 990 | 56% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1222 | 23% | 2015-05-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1125 | 37% | 2012-05-10 | Lost |
| 1086 | 693 | 91% | 2011-01-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1178 | 35% | 2010-11-12 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1020.3 has a 56.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).