Sugar Cane Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (16 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (Filipino): 31
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Filipino): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-03-20 | D | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-03-20 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2025-11-15 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2025-11-15 | | Won |
| 904 | 952 | 43% | 2024-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1078 | 60% | 2024-01-25 | | Tied |
| 1076 | 1003 | 60% | 2023-11-04 | | Won |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-09-10 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 904 | 72% | 2018-06-22 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-06-17 | | Won |
| 917 | 991 | 40% | 2018-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1079 | 72% | 2013-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2012-07-18 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1017.3 has a 54.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).