Sugar Cane Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (13 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 31
Defender wins (Filipino): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1060 | 44% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 903 | 974 | 40% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1038 | 62% | 2024-01-25 | Tied |
| 1037 | 1006 | 54% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1063 | 49% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 904 | 72% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1138 | 825 | 86% | 2018-06-17 | Won |
| 919 | 1085 | 28% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1058 | 62% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1021.2 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).