Sugar Cane Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 32
Defender wins (Filipino): 31
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Filipino): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2026-03-20 | Won |
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1035 | 48% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 885 | 968 | 38% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1077 | 60% | 2024-01-25 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1004 | 63% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 999 | 48% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1143 | 43% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 904 | 67% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 826 | 81% | 2018-06-17 | Won |
| 906 | 1021 | 34% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1079 | 74% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1058 | 62% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1022.1 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).