Sugar Cane Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (14 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 31
Defender wins (Filipino): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1016 | 41% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1040 | 47% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 878 | 972 | 37% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1045 | 60% | 2024-01-25 | Tied |
| 1019 | 1007 | 52% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1063 | 50% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1072 | 904 | 72% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 826 | 79% | 2018-06-17 | Won |
| 919 | 1041 | 33% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1079 | 74% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1058 | 62% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1025.4 has a 53.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).