Wannan Incident
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (2 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 13
Defender wins (Red Chinese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1157 | 29% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2011-04-11 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1000.5 vs 1163.5 has a 28.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).