A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 9
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1119 | 50% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 951 | 63% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
| 931 | 1141 | 23% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 999 | 52% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1255 | 958 | 85% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 927 | 910 | 52% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1276 | 52% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 958 | 58% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 983 | 944 | 56% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1032.2 has a 52.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).