Something to Prove
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Yugoslavian (NOVJ)): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 939 | 50% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
994 | 1014 | 47% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
971 | 1158 | 25% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
1120 | 1125 | 49% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
982 | 1014 | 45% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
924 | 1118 | 25% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
1031 | 1092 | 41% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2009-04-13 | Won |
978 | 1141 | 28% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
1141 | 1008 | 68% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1072.4 has a 45.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).