Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1144 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1056 | 49% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1310 | 1025 | 84% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1019 | 57% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1137 | 55% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1129 | 1031 | 64% | 2021-03-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1211 | 29% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1069 | 1092 | 47% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 1016 | 57% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 1154 | 51% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1069 | 37% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
| 1086 | 1119 | 45% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 1008 | 57% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 1012 | 57% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1310 | 1168 | 69% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 981 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 981 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 942 | 1098 | 29% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 1011 | 63% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
| 1114 | 1106 | 51% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
| 846 | 927 | 39% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 1120 | 40% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1141 | 22% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1141 | 33% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1018 | 28% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1011 | 55% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1133 | 42% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 851 | 908 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1110 | 37% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1119 | 71% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 890 | 1084 | 25% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1088 | 86% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1069 | 1001 | 60% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1001 | 60% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 963 | 1008 | 44% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 1014 | 1011 | 50% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1069 | 52% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1163 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1071.1 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).