Bidermann's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 236 (55 on the archive and 181 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 113
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1135 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1060 | 52% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 1001 | 78% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1027 | 49% | 2024-01-12 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1144 | 56% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1344 | 1136 | 77% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1035 | 56% | 2021-03-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1233 | 36% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 1263 | 20% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1094 | 1004 | 63% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 1016 | 51% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2017-07-20 | Won |
| 1141 | 1097 | 56% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1094 | 34% | 2016-05-27 | Won |
| 1129 | 1109 | 53% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1077 | 48% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1035 | 56% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1040 | 1008 | 55% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2014-03-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2013-10-25 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1055 | 49% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 1172 | 57% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-04-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1094 | 1171 | 39% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 968 | 1101 | 32% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1080 | 53% | 2012-05-30 | Won |
| 1107 | 1114 | 49% | 2012-02-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 965 | 59% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1186 | 1126 | 59% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1165 | 20% | 2010-10-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1165 | 30% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1126 | 51% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-07-12 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1132 | 55% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 998 | 57% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 851 | 909 | 42% | 2010-04-01 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1152 | 37% | 2010-02-27 | Lost |
| 1317 | 1109 | 77% | 2010-01-01 | Won |
| 889 | 1084 | 25% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1435 | 1089 | 88% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1008 | 62% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1008 | 62% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 970 | 1094 | 33% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1015 | 45% | 2009-03-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 1094 | 46% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1149 | 49% | 2008-08-29 | Won |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2008-06-23 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1079 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1085.1 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).