Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1046 | 66% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1105 | 47% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1105 | 38% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1310 | 15% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
| 930 | 1056 | 33% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1037 | 60% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
| 976 | 1074 | 36% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1128 | 1018 | 65% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1074 | 42% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1031 | 57% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1100 | 64% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1001 | 986 | 52% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1141 | 29% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1105.4 has a 43.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).