Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (Polish): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1039 | 68% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1124 | 44% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1080 | 62% | 2020-05-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1124 | 37% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1219 | 24% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
| 935 | 1059 | 33% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1141 | 35% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1031 | 67% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
| 977 | 1167 | 25% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1195 | 1019 | 73% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1167 | 30% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1132 | 64% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1136 | 36% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1048 | 55% | 2010-09-20 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1120 | 62% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1165 | 27% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1117.5 has a 43.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).