The Sound of Hoof Beats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1053 | 36% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-09-05 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1015 vs 1052.3 has a 44.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).