A Cross in Gold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (13 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1076 | 64% | 2026-04-06 | | Won |
| 1310 | 1242 | 60% | 2026-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1150 | 36% | 2025-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2023-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1064 | 44% | 2023-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-04-03 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-08-29 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-11-13 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1116 | 53% | 2015-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-04-18 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1062 | 58% | 2008-12-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1111.5 vs 1057.3 has a 57.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).