Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (11 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1095 | 37% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1161 | 1145 | 52% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1127 | 52% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 885 | 937 | 43% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1129 | 32% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1108 | 63% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1011 | 1342 | 13% | 2009-04-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1097.7 has a 42.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).