Let's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (10 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1094 | 49% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1030 | 1042 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1158 | 1123 | 55% | 2024-10-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1174 | 45% | 2024-05-04 | Lost |
| 903 | 878 | 54% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 999 | 1099 | 36% | 2013-07-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2013-06-19 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1090 | 64% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1062.9 has a 49.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).