The Grist Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (NKPA): 3
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 1027 | 36% | 2021-09-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1056 | 53% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
| 1055 | 930 | 67% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1041 | 61% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-04-23 | Lost |
| 959 | 1264 | 15% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1067 has a 42.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).