The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1120 | 42% | 2026-07-23 | | Won |
| 1119 | 1133 | 48% | 2023-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-05-28 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1019 | 58% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1056 | 53% | 2012-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1099 | 42% | 2012-09-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2007-11-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1067.5 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).