The Last Circle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1135 | 50% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2022-11-08 | Won |
| 890 | 989 | 36% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 984 | 1022 | 45% | 2017-10-29 | Lost |
| 967 | 984 | 48% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1018 | 48% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1056 | 42% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1099 | 42% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1083 | 1208 | 33% | 2007-11-04 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1014.2 vs 1060.2 has a 43.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).