The Reluctant Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (6 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1103 | 33% | 2008-10-09 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2008-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2008-09-18 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-12-06 | | Lost |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2007-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1001 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.3 vs 1035.2 has a 48.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).