Armstrong's Broken Lance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (2 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 3
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 973 | 72% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 1274 | 1125 | 70% | 2015-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1206 vs 1049 has a 71.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).