Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Romanian): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1018 | 44% | 2026-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1066 | 60% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 992 | 999 | 49% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1131 | 37% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1129 | 23% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1342 | 16% | 2010-11-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1071.7 has a 48.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).