Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Romanian): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 943 | 67% | 2026-01-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1077 | 59% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 999 | 52% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1131 | 900 | 79% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 900 | 1131 | 21% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1135 | 23% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1343 | 16% | 2010-11-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1054.8 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).