The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 996 | 68% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 914 | 1069 | 29% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1058 | 45% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 979 | 1014 | 45% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1310 | 9% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1129 | 36% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1214 | 35% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1244 | 21% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 963 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1084 | 48% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 981 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 968 | 1044 | 39% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1105 | 982 | 67% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1008 | 1332 | 13% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1011 | 56% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1127 | 49% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1011 | 1014 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 928 | 1141 | 23% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1078.1 has a 44.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).