Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 27
Defender wins (NOVJ): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 0
Defender wins (NOVJ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1129 | 38% | 2026-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2025-11-29 | D | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2024-05-19 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1155 | 38% | 2014-05-24 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2010-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2007-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2006-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2006-12-19 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2006-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2006-09-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1054.5 has a 46.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).