Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (10 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 26
Defender wins (NOVJ): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 0
Defender wins (NOVJ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2025-11-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 1153 | 38% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 986 | 66% | 2010-01-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1085 | 44% | 2007-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-12-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-12-19 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1138 | 43% | 2006-09-21 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1015 | 54% | 2006-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.3 vs 1062.6 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).