Erstwhile Allies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (10 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (Vichy French): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 993 | 38% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 907 | 1052 | 30% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 1416 | 920 | 95% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 948 | 70% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
| 985 | 974 | 52% | 2007-03-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2005-10-30 | Won |
| 1127 | 1160 | 45% | 2005-10-28 | Won |
| 1177 | 862 | 86% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 977.7 has a 63.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).