Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1122 | 38% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1052 | 930 | 67% | 2025-11-12 | Won |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1019 | 56% | 2020-11-05 | Won |
| 1019 | 1118 | 36% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 963 | 1178 | 22% | 2016-07-13 | Won |
| 917 | 1019 | 36% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1061 | 66% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2006-07-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1036 | 53% | 2005-08-06 | Lost |
| 1160 | 986 | 73% | 2005-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1051.1 has a 47.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).