Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1173 | 34% | 2025-11-13 | Won |
| 1072 | 930 | 69% | 2025-11-12 | Won |
| 854 | 1062 | 23% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1010 | 58% | 2020-11-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1151 | 31% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 997 | 1204 | 23% | 2016-07-13 | Won |
| 916 | 1010 | 37% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1037 | 70% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1037 | 47% | 2006-07-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1035 | 53% | 2005-08-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 987 | 75% | 2005-03-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1057.8 has a 46.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).