First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 970 | 65% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1247 | 1130 | 66% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 934 | 77% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1153 | 1181 | 46% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1061 | 985 | 61% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 832 | 1025 | 25% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1194 | 1231 | 45% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1089 | 1181 | 37% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1099.5 vs 1079.6 has a 52.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).