First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 21
Defender wins (British): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1018 | 68% | 2023-11-06 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1204 | 47% | 2019-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 972 | 56% | 2019-10-09 | | Won |
| 1118 | 1141 | 47% | 2017-10-04 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1133 | 42% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 904 | 1022 | 34% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1209 | 24% | 2005-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2002-11-02 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1105 has a 43.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).