L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Belgian): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 991 | 55% | 2025-02-12 | Lost |
| 991 | 1028 | 45% | 2025-02-04 | Won |
| 1072 | 1028 | 56% | 2025-01-01 | Won |
| 993 | 993 | 50% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1132 | 904 | 79% | 2023-10-19 | Won |
| 1032 | 1092 | 41% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1001 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 978 | 1009 | 46% | 2020-01-27 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1132 | 32% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 928 | 53% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 996 | 60% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 931 | 62% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1086 | 939 | 70% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1001 | 51% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1122 | 913 | 77% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 1248 | 21% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 985 | 1019 | 45% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1125 | 29% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1001 | 67% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1128 | 23% | 2008-09-14 | Lost |
| 901 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 1141 | 30% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1019 | 61% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 829 | 67% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 829 | 973 | 30% | 2001-01-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1041 | 74% | 1995-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1022.5 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).