Fangs of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (14 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1007 | 66% | 2026-05-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2025-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2018-08-18 | | Won |
| 1160 | 1080 | 61% | 2012-06-18 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2008-05-27 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2008-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2004-12-31 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2003-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2002-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-11-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2002-10-24 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1081.8 vs 1048.7 has a 54.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).