Fangs of the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (11 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 950 | 64% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 1206 | 1014 | 75% | 2025-09-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1117 | 32% | 2018-08-18 | Won |
| 1163 | 1081 | 62% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1243 | 890 | 88% | 2008-05-27 | Won |
| 1036 | 1259 | 22% | 2008-05-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-05-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2004-12-31 | Won |
| 1046 | 1041 | 51% | 2003-12-05 | Won |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 2002-11-07 | Lost |
| 1233 | 950 | 84% | 2002-10-24 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1125.9 vs 1063.9 has a 58.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).