Green Jackets' Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (14 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-02-16 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2022-06-09 | | Won |
| 964 | 1187 | 22% | 2021-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2020-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2019-09-22 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2008-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2005-02-18 | | Won |
| 1074 | 866 | 77% | 2004-03-26 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2002-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2002-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2002-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1011 | 65% | 2001-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1125 | 45% | 2001-10-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1055.4 has a 45.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).