Orlik and the Uhlans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (8 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Polish): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1038 | 57% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2015-10-12 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2014-09-06 | Won |
| 844 | 1135 | 16% | 2013-06-25 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2000-06-23 | Won |
| 1099 | 967 | 68% | 1999-12-05 | Won |
| 1010 | 1003 | 51% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 997.9 vs 1087.4 has a 37.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).