Two Pounds in Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (9 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 15
Defender wins (German ): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1118 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1117 | 51% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 916 | 70% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2001-01-01 | Won |
| 950 | 1105 | 29% | 2000-10-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 957 | 61% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1068 | 56% | 1999-01-25 | Won |
| 1173 | 1079 | 63% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1078.6 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).