The Green House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (13 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1041 | 37% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1204 | 1059 | 70% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 879 | 1065 | 26% | 2014-10-09 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1123 | 48% | 2011-08-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-11-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 981 | 59% | 2005-11-12 | Won |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2005-05-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2005-05-20 | Won |
| 1109 | 1068 | 56% | 2004-10-31 | Won |
| 1204 | 831 | 90% | 2001-11-23 | Won |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 2001-01-29 | Won |
| 983 | 1003 | 47% | 2000-01-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 1998-03-16 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1014.7 has a 56.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).