Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (15 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 1131 | 54% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
1169 | 1048 | 67% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
857 | 1140 | 16% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
1151 | 970 | 74% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
916 | 1011 | 37% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
976 | 1116 | 31% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
1033 | 931 | 64% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
1015 | 1129 | 34% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
1094 | 1076 | 53% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
1008 | 697 | 86% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
1134 | 1069 | 59% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
937 | 1100 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1049.5 has a 52.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).