Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 971 | 58% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1104 | 51% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1063 | 69% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 858 | 1174 | 14% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1103 | 913 | 75% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1031 | 34% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 940 | 1194 | 19% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 958 | 61% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1286 | 1340 | 42% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1018 | 1204 | 26% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 1077 | 55% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 693 | 90% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1131 | 1003 | 68% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1099 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1054.9 has a 50.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).