Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1085 | 49% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1064 | 61% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 851 | 1116 | 18% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 950 | 45% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 1026 | 51% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1287 | 1253 | 55% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1006 | 1204 | 24% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1107 | 1077 | 54% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 694 | 89% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1027 | 64% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1098 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1033.3 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).