Lion's Share
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British / French): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1077 | 40% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1077 | 1013 | 59% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2003-02-20 | Won |
| 1195 | 1019 | 73% | 2002-12-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 994 | 52% | 2001-07-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1342 | 13% | 2000-08-01 | Won |
| 1245 | 970 | 83% | 1999-03-06 | Won |
| 1137 | 1127 | 51% | 1998-07-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1290 | 46% | 1998-03-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1128.2 vs 1077.6 has a 57.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).