Fire on the Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1159 | 33% | 2026-06-21 | | Tied |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1017.5 vs 1095.5 has a 38.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).