The Gingerbread Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (4 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German (SS)): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-08-26 | Lost |
| 1156 | 830 | 87% | 2004-01-02 | Won |
| 940 | 1152 | 23% | 2000-10-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1079.5 vs 1078.3 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).